Melbourne's stage-four restrictions could last until mid-October, modelling suggests

Research released as Victoria premier Daniel Andrews prepares to announce roadmap out of lockdown

Melbourne could remain under stage-four restrictions until mid-October, according to modelling from the University of Melbourne, which suggests if restrictions are lifted before the 14-day average drops below 25 new cases a day there would be a third wave of infections.

The modelling was released by the Victorian government in the lead-up to a much-awaited press conference by the premier, Daniel Andrews, on Sunday which will set out the plan for moving the state out of lockdown.

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